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Constraint-Aware Hospital Staffing Forecasting: A Resilience-Oriented Modeling Framework for Workforce Stability
In the dynamic landscape of healthcare delivery, hospital staffing represents a critical operational pillar susceptible to multifaceted constraints, including regulatory mandates, resource limitations, and unforeseen disruptions. This conceptual manuscript introduces a resilience-oriented modeling framework designed to enhance workforce stability through constraint-aware forecasting mechanisms. By integrating architectural principles from clinical AI systems, healthcare analytics infrastructures, and electronic health record (EHR) intelligence ecosystems, the framework addresses the interplay between predictive analytics and governance constraints in hospital environments. It proposes a layered architecture that incorporates feedback topologies for adaptive decision support, emphasizing theoretical constructs for risk propagation and resource allocation without empirical validation. Drawing on peer-reviewed literature, the synthesis highlights interoperability frameworks and workflow integration models that inform the framework’s design. Key interpretive formulas capture decision confidence under constraints and monitoring burdens in staffing prognostics. The architecture promotes theoretical resilience by orchestrating data exchange and AI governance, offering a blueprint for stable workforce management in constrained clinical settings. This work contributes to conceptual advancements in AI-driven healthcare systems, advocating for infrastructural robustness amid operational volatilities. Ultimately, it underscores the need for constraint-sensitive approaches to foster sustainable staffing equilibria in hospitals.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 10 January 2022 | Article: 8

Federated Reinforcement Learning for Coordinated Bed Allocation and Nurse Staffing During Pandemic Surges
Pandemic surges can rapidly overwhelm hospital capacity, where shortages of beds and nurse fatigue contribute directly to increased excess mortality, making coordinated decision-making across emergency departments, intensive care units, and general wards essential yet difficult to achieve under centralized control systems. Centralized approaches to bed allocation and nurse staffing optimization are limited because each hospital unit holds critical local information—such as real-time patient acuity, staff availability, and infection control status—that cannot be easily shared due to privacy constraints and communication delays during crisis conditions. To address these challenges, we propose a federated multi-agent reinforcement learning framework that enables coordinated decision-making for bed distribution and nurse staffing across hospital units without requiring centralization of sensitive clinical or workforce data. The system consists of local reinforcement learning agents deployed in each unit that participate in federated aggregation, a coordination mechanism that aligns inter-unit policies, and a surge detection module that dynamically switches operational strategies during pandemic escalation periods. This distributed architecture maintains data privacy while supporting adaptive, system-wide coordination under surge conditions, overcoming the limitations of both centralized optimization models and rule-based heuristic approaches.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 104

Smart Hospital Artificial Intelligence System for Predicting Nurse Call Button Demand Using Patient Acuity Levels, Room Location, Prior Call Frequency, Time-of-Day Patterns, and Unit Staffing Ratios
Nurse call buttons are a core communication channel through which hospitalised patients request assistance, reassurance, symptom support, and routine care. When call demand is high, nurses may experience overload, interruptions, and competing priorities that delay responses to urgent needs. Current approaches to call demand management are largely reactive and shift based. They often overlook rapid fluctuations driven by patient acuity, prior call behaviour, room geography, time-of-day routines, and staffing conditions. This article proposes a smart hospital AI system for short-term prediction of nurse call button demand at the room or unit-zone level. The framework is conceptual and system oriented, with emphasis on how operational data streams could support proactive nursing workflow decisions. The system includes a patient acuity scoring module, call history learner, circadian pattern analyser, room-location spatial modeller, staffing-ratio adjuster, and real-time demand forecasting dashboard. Together, these components would translate fragmented operational signals into interpretable demand forecasts. The proposed system would support proactive allocation of nursing resources by identifying rooms or zones likely to generate elevated call demand. It could also guide anticipatory rounding, help reduce avoidable non-urgent calls, and support more balanced workload distribution. A demand-driven nursing workflow would move smart hospital operations beyond reactive response to patient-initiated requests. Predictive nurse call intelligence offers a pathway toward more responsive, equitable, and resilient inpatient care.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2022 | Article: 71

Machine Learning Model for Predicting Missed Medication Doses in Long-Term Care Facilities Using Medication Complexity, Resident Dependency Scores, Staff Availability, Administration Route, and Shift-Level Workload Data
Missed medication doses in long-term care facilities compromise resident safety and arise from intersecting medication, resident, staffing, route, and workload factors. These risks are especially important where residents have complex regimens and high care dependency. Current medication safety approaches in long-term care are often retrospective, audit-based, or broadly applied across all residents. They do not forecast which specific resident–medication pass combinations are most vulnerable before administration occurs. The objective is to describe a predictive model that could estimate the probability of a missed medication dose for each resident–medication pass combination. The model would use medication complexity, resident dependency, staff availability, administration route, and shift-level workload indicators. A supervised classification approach could be trained using electronic medication administration records, staffing rosters, resident assessment data, and medication order characteristics. The model would output a dose-level missed-dose risk score before the relevant medication pass. Conceptually, the model would identify high-risk medication–resident–shift triples and provide an interpretable explanation of dominant risk contributors. For example, the system could flag a non-oral high-risk medication scheduled during a low-staffed morning medication round. Such a model could support proactive prevention by directing nursing attention toward the most vulnerable doses before they are missed. It could also inform shift-level workload planning and safer medication pass organization.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2022 | Article: 73

Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Operations Management: A Review of Predictive Analytics Models for Staffing, Scheduling, Bed Capacity, Patient Flow, and Service Demand Forecasting
Healthcare operations are constrained by demand volatility, resource scarcity, staffing pressures, and interdependent patient pathways. Artificial intelligence and predictive analytics offer a way to anticipate operational stress before it becomes visible in queues, bed shortages, overtime, or delayed care. This systematic review examines predictive analytics models applied to hospital staffing, scheduling, bed capacity, patient flow, and service demand forecasting from 2017 to 2022. The objective is to synthesize model types, data sources, operational targets, validation approaches, and implementation maturity across these domains. A PRISMA 2020–compliant review design was used to guide database searching, screening, eligibility assessment, extraction, and synthesis. Searches covered PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science, with narrative synthesis grouped by operational domain and risk of bias considered using an operationally adapted PROBAST-AI lens. The evidence base was dominated by retrospective, single-centre studies demonstrating the technical feasibility of predictive analytics for bed demand, emergency department arrivals, admission prediction, discharge prediction, and length-of-stay estimation. Staffing and scheduling studies were less frequent, and prospective implementation in real operational workflows remained uncommon. Predictive analytics for healthcare operations management is technically mature but practically under-deployed. The central challenge is translating forecasts into staffing, scheduling, bed-management, and command-centre decisions that measurably improve operational performance.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2023 | Article: 76

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Hospital Command Center for Predicting Patient Transfer Bottlenecks Using Admission Requests, Unit Occupancy, Bed Cleaning Duration, Isolation Requirements, and Staffing Constraints
Patient transfer delays from the emergency department, post-anaesthesia care unit, and outside facilities are a major source of hospital congestion. These delays can convert local unit constraints into system-wide capacity failure when demand and transfer readiness are not coordinated in real time. Hospital command centres increasingly monitor bed status, queue length, and operational pressure, but many remain reactive. They often identify congestion only after transfer queues have formed, particularly when demand, cleaning delays, isolation needs, and staffing shortages converge. This article proposes an AI-enabled hospital command centre framework for predicting patient transfer bottlenecks. The system would fuse real-time admission requests, unit occupancy, bed cleaning duration, isolation requirements, and staffing constraints into a dynamic bottleneck risk score. The framework includes an admission request projection module, a unit occupancy forecasting engine, a bed-cleaning-time estimation model, an isolation-delay calculator, and a staffing-aware transfer-capacity reasoner. Together, these components would estimate whether each receiving unit can absorb expected transfer demand. The system would provide command centre staff with a rolling risk map of potential transfer bottlenecks up to four hours ahead. This would support earlier load-balancing, cleaning prioritisation, staffing escalation, and transfer-routing decisions. A predictive command centre could shift hospital flow management from reactive queue monitoring to proactive bottleneck prevention. Such a framework should be evaluated prospectively before operational deployment.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2023 | Article: 83

Predictive Analytics for Hospital Resource Allocation: A Review of Machine Learning Models for Bed Management, Staffing Demand, Equipment Use, Diagnostic Capacity, and Patient Throughput
Efficient hospital resource allocation is a persistent operational challenge because demand for beds, staff, equipment, diagnostics, and patient movement changes rapidly. Predictive analytics offers a way to anticipate demand and support more proactive operational decisions. This systematic review synthesised machine learning models applied to hospital resource allocation from 2017 to 2023. The review focused on bed management, staffing demand, equipment use, diagnostic capacity, and patient throughput. A PRISMA 2020-compliant review process was used, including structured searches of PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science. Screening, extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and narrative synthesis were conducted to compare model targets, data sources, validation approaches, and implementation maturity. The evidence base was dominated by retrospective studies of patient throughput, emergency department admission prediction, bed demand, and length of stay. Staffing, equipment, and diagnostic capacity forecasting were less frequently represented, while integrated multi-resource command centre models remained uncommon. Machine learning for hospital resource allocation has become technically advanced, but operational translation remains uneven. Most models remained retrospective or locally validated, with limited evidence of prospective deployment, workflow integration, or measurable operational impact.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 89

Machine Learning Model for Predicting Delayed Patient Placement after Emergency Admission Using Bed Assignment Logs, Isolation Needs, Unit Census, Nurse Staffing Levels, and Specialty Service Availability
Emergency admissions frequently wait for inpatient bed placement when hospital capacity, infection control needs, staffing limitations, and specialty-bed requirements collide. These delays can prolong emergency department boarding and disrupt hospital-wide patient flow. Current bed management is often reactive, relying on bed coordinators, charge nurses, manual communication, and local escalation routines. Without a prospective warning system, teams may recognize an impending placement delay only after the admission queue has already stalled. The objective is to develop a machine learning model that predicts, at the time of admission decision, whether a patient is likely to experience delayed placement beyond a defined operational threshold. The model would use bed assignment logs, isolation requirements, unit census, nurse staffing levels, and specialty service availability as core predictors. A supervised classification model based on gradient-boosted trees would be trained on historical emergency admissions and linked operational data. The model would generate a placement delay risk score that can be refreshed as bed status, staffing, and unit conditions change. Conceptually, the model would identify admissions at elevated risk for delayed placement and attribute risk to operational constraints such as limited isolation rooms, high census, low staffing, or unavailable specialty beds. These explanations would give bed managers lead time to intervene before the delay becomes entrenched. This predictive model could shift hospital bed management from a reactive queue-based process to proactive, data-driven placement coordination. It would support earlier escalation, more targeted resource allocation, and improved alignment between emergency admissions and inpatient capacity.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2024 | Article: 100

Retrieval-Augmented Clinical Operations Assistant for Answering Hospital Policy Questions Using Local Protocols, Staffing Guidelines, Bed Management Rules, Escalation Pathways, and Real-Time Operational Dashboards
Hospital staff routinely spend substantial cognitive effort locating operational policies, staffing rules, escalation pathways, and dashboard metrics across fragmented repositories. This hidden search burden can slow decision-making during high-pressure clinical operations. Current hospital knowledge environments rarely support natural-language policy questions answered from the institution’s own approved documents. Staff may know what they need to ask, but not where the relevant rule, protocol, or dashboard field is stored. This article proposes a retrieval-augmented clinical operations assistant that accepts free-text questions and retrieves relevant passages from local policy repositories and structured operational data sources. The assistant would synthesize a grounded response while exposing the sources used to generate the answer. The proposed assistant includes a document ingestion pipeline, a vector store, a permissioned large language model, a real-time dashboard connector, and a simple chat interface embedded in the hospital intranet. These components would work together to make local protocols, staffing guidelines, bed management rules, and escalation pathways conversationally accessible. The assistant would be expected to reduce staff search burden, improve visibility of current policy, and support more consistent use of institutional operating rules. Its value would depend on strict grounding in authoritative documents, robust version control, and clear boundaries when policies are missing or contradictory. A retrieval-augmented clinical operations assistant represents an early step toward conversational, trustworthy, and continually updated operational decision support. Such a system should complement, rather than replace, human judgment and formal policy governance.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 108

Deep Learning Model for Predicting Pharmacy Verification Backlogs Using Medication Order Complexity, Pharmacist Staffing, Patient Acuity, High-Alert Medication Flags, and Historical Queue Dynamics
Pharmacy verification is a critical safety checkpoint that protects patients from inappropriate medication use before administration. Verification backlogs can emerge when complex orders, high patient demand, and limited pharmacist capacity converge. Backlog management is often reactive because supervisors typically recognize risk only after the queue is already growing. By that point, turnaround times may already be delayed and urgent orders may compete with routine workload. This article proposes a conceptual deep learning model to forecast pharmacy verification backlog depth over short operational horizons. The model integrates medication order characteristics, pharmacist staffing, patient acuity, high-alert medication flags, and historical queue dynamics. The proposed model would use timestamped medication orders, staffing indicators, acuity signals, and queue-state variables as a multivariate temporal input stream. A recurrent or temporal convolutional neural network could transform these inputs into predicted queue length and backlog probability for upcoming time windows. Conceptually, the model would provide early warning of impending verification congestion before the queue becomes operationally disruptive. Such forecasts could support pre-emptive pharmacist reallocation, prioritization of urgent orders, and improved shift-lead situational awareness. A deep learning approach could shift pharmacy operations management from retrospective queue monitoring toward proactive backlog prevention. This model-oriented framework offers a foundation for future prospective evaluation in high-volume hospital pharmacy environments.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 109

Federated Analytics Framework for Benchmarking Hospital Operational Performance Across Health Systems Using Secure Aggregation of Bed Occupancy, Discharge Delays, Staffing Ratios, and Service Demand Indicators
Hospitals lack an objective and privacy-preserving mechanism to compare operational performance against peer institutions. This limits shared learning around capacity, discharge flow, staffing, and service demand. Traditional benchmarking often depends on centralized data warehouses, voluntary reporting, or retrospective surveys. These approaches can create privacy, competitive, regulatory, and selection-bias concerns that discourage full participation. This article proposes a federated analytics framework for computing aggregate operational benchmarks without moving raw hospital data outside local institutional boundaries. The framework would support medians, percentiles, and risk-adjusted comparative indicators through secure aggregation. The framework combines a local data standardization engine, a secure multi-party computation aggregator, a differential privacy injector, and a participatory dashboard. Together, these components would allow each hospital to compare its position against anonymous peer distributions. The framework could enable hospitals to identify performance gaps in bed occupancy, discharge delays, staffing ratios, and service demand while preserving confidentiality. It would be expected to encourage more honest participation because institutional data sovereignty remains intact. A federated analytics approach offers a practical pathway for collaborative operations improvement across health systems. It aligns benchmarking, privacy protection, and organizational learning within a single governance-aware framework.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 111

Machine Learning for Healthcare Workforce Analytics: A Review of Models for Staffing Prediction, Burnout Detection, Skill Matching, Productivity Monitoring, and Retention Risk Forecasting
Healthcare workforce management faces persistent challenges, including staffing shortages, clinician burnout, skill misalignment, productivity pressure, and turnover. Machine learning has been proposed as a way to support earlier prediction, better allocation, and more responsive workforce decision-making. This systematic review synthesizes peer-reviewed evidence from 2017 to 2025 on machine learning applications in healthcare workforce analytics. The review focuses on staffing prediction, burnout detection, skill matching, productivity monitoring, and retention risk forecasting. A PRISMA 2020-aligned review approach was used to structure database searching, screening, eligibility assessment, and narrative synthesis. The review considered studies from PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science, with emphasis on workforce-relevant outcomes and healthcare operational settings. Staffing prediction and burnout detection were the most developed domains in the reviewed literature. Skill matching and productivity monitoring were less mature, while retention risk forecasting showed growing interest but limited implementation evidence. Machine learning offers useful tools for healthcare workforce analytics, but the evidence base remains uneven. Stronger prospective validation, fairness assessment, and implementation reporting are needed before these models can be considered mature workforce decision-support systems.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2026 | Article: 124
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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