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A Longitudinal Chronic Disease Risk Lifecycle Management Model for EHR-Based Systems
Chronic diseases impose significant burdens on healthcare systems, necessitating advanced risk-management models integrated with electronic health records (EHRs). This conceptual manuscript proposes a novel longitudinal chronic risk orchestration model (LCROM) designed to facilitate lifecycle management of disease risks within EHR-based infrastructures. Drawing on clinical AI architectures, healthcare analytics frameworks, and interoperability standards, the model emphasizes dynamic risk assessment across patient lifecycles, incorporating temporal data flows, governance protocols, and decision-support pipelines. The architecture delineates layers for data ingestion, risk stratification, predictive orchestration, and continuous monitoring, ensuring seamless integration with existing EHR ecosystems without empirical validation. Key theoretical contributions include formulas for risk-propagation sensitivity and governance load balancing, highlighting trade-offs between system latency and clinical workflow efficiency. By synthesizing literature on EHR intelligence and AI deployment in chronic care, this work addresses gaps in longitudinal management, such as data drift and interoperability challenges. Implications extend to enhanced clinical decision-making, reduced resource burdens, and improved patient outcomes in theoretical deployments. The model advocates for modular, scalable designs that prioritize ethical AI governance in chronic disease contexts, offering a blueprint for future conceptual advancements in healthcare systems.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 January 2023 | Article: 2

Patient Portal Inbox Intelligence: A Risk-Stratified Framework for Urgency Detection, Routing, and Duty-of-Care Boundaries
In the evolving landscape of digital healthcare, patient portals serve as critical conduits for asynchronous communication, yet their inboxes often overwhelm clinicians with unstructured messages, risking delays in urgent care. This conceptual manuscript introduces the urgency-risk orchestration network (URON), a theoretical framework designed to stratify message urgency, automate routing, and delineate duty-of-care boundaries within electronic health record (EHR) ecosystems. Drawing on principles from clinical AI architectures and healthcare analytics, URON integrates multi-layered intelligence for real-time triage, leveraging risk stratification algorithms to prioritize messages based on semantic urgency cues, patient history integration, and ethical governance constraints. The framework emphasizes interoperability with existing decision support pipelines, ensuring seamless workflow integration while mitigating biases in AI-driven routing. By establishing clear boundaries for clinician intervention, URON aims to reduce cognitive load and enhance patient safety without empirical validation. Theoretical implications include improved resource allocation in ambulatory settings and proactive monitoring of system drift. This work synthesizes recent literature on AI governance and EHR intelligence, proposing a scalable infrastructure that balances automation with human oversight. Ultimately, URON provides a blueprint for intelligent patient portal management, fostering equitable and efficient healthcare delivery.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 10 January 2024 | Article: 37

Maternal Risk Stratification from Prenatal Care Trajectories: A Continuity-Aware Modeling Framework for Preventable Harm
Maternal healthcare faces escalating challenges in identifying preventable harms during pregnancy, where fragmented prenatal care trajectories often obscure emerging risks. This conceptual manuscript introduces a novel continuity-aware modeling framework designed to stratify maternal risks by integrating longitudinal care trajectories into a cohesive analytical architecture. Drawing on theoretical principles from systems engineering and healthcare informatics, the framework emphasizes the orchestration of prenatal data streams to enhance risk detection without relying on empirical datasets or performance metrics. Key components include modular layers for trajectory mapping, continuity assessment, and harm anticipation, supported by interpretive formulas that model risk propagation and decision confidence. By prioritizing infrastructural resilience and governance integration, this approach theorizes improved alignment between clinical workflows and preventive strategies, potentially mitigating disparities in maternal outcomes. The discussion synthesizes literature on machine learning applications in perinatal risk prediction and midwifery continuity models, highlighting architectural innovations for sustainable deployment in diverse healthcare environments. Ultimately, this framework advocates for a paradigm shift toward proactive, continuity-centric systems in maternal risk management, fostering theoretical advancements in AI-driven healthcare analytics.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 10 July 2025 | Article: 52

Explainable Risk Stratification Model for Prioritizing Case Management Referrals Using Prior Utilization, Chronic Disease Burden, Social Needs Documentation, Missed Appointments, and Care Gap Indicators
Case management programs are intended to reduce avoidable utilization and improve coordination for patients with complex medical, social, and engagement needs. Because case management capacity is limited, health systems need prioritization tools that are both clinically sensible and transparent. Existing referral methods often rely on clinician judgment, simple utilization thresholds, or proprietary risk scores that provide limited explanation. These approaches may overlook social needs, missed appointments, and care gaps that shape patient complexity and influence whether an intervention is feasible. This article proposes an explainable machine learning model that stratifies patients by risk of future high utilization and provides patient-specific reasoning. The model is designed around prior utilization, chronic disease burden, social needs documentation, missed appointments, and care gap indicators. The conceptual architecture uses a gradient-boosted classification model with a SHAP-based post-hoc explanation layer. The model would output both a risk score and a ranked list of contributing factors for each patient considered for case management referral. Conceptually, the model would identify patients who may benefit from case management and explain why each patient was prioritized. These explanations could help case managers tailor outreach, match patients to intervention pathways, and distinguish medical complexity from social instability or disengagement. An explainable risk stratification model could turn a blind referral process into a transparent, clinically sensible prioritization workflow. Its value would depend on careful implementation, fairness monitoring, and alignment with real case manager decision-making.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 102
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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