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Machine Learning for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction Using Electronic Health Records: A Systematic Review
Cardiovascular disease remains the leading global cause of death, emphasizing the need for improved risk stratification beyond traditional tools such as Framingham, ASCVD, QRISK, and SCORE, which show limitations in diverse modern populations. Machine learning methods applied to electronic health records can enhance prediction by capturing complex, high-dimensional, and nonlinear relationships. This systematic review (2017–2022) evaluated machine learning models for cardiovascular risk prediction using EHR data, focusing on discrimination (AUROC, AUPRC), calibration, external validation, and reporting quality including TRIPOD adherence. A PRISMA-compliant search identified peer-reviewed studies applying machine learning to EHR-based cardiovascular risk prediction. Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST, and narrative synthesis was conducted due to heterogeneity. Twenty-nine studies were included. XGBoost, random forest, and neural networks were the most common models and generally outperformed logistic regression and traditional risk scores in discrimination. However, calibration was infrequently reported, and external validation was limited, often showing reduced performance. Machine learning models demonstrate improved predictive discrimination over conventional risk scores, but limited calibration assessment and weak external validation constrain clinical applicability. Stronger validation frameworks are needed for clinical translation.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2023 | Article: 66

Explainable Boosting Machine for Identifying Modifiable Risk Factors of Hospital-Acquired Pressure Injuries in Critically Ill Patients Using Electronic Health Record Data from 50,000 Admissions
Hospital-acquired pressure injuries (HAPIs) are a common and largely preventable complication in ICU patients, affecting 5–15% of cases and contributing to increased morbidity and healthcare costs. Despite standardized nursing protocols, incidence remains high, highlighting the need for more effective predictive and preventive approaches. While traditional tools like the Braden Scale offer interpretability, they lack sufficient predictive accuracy in critically ill populations. In contrast, machine learning models such as XGBoost and random forests improve prediction but function as black boxes, limiting clinical trust and actionable insight. To address this gap, this work proposes an Explainable Boosting Machine (EBM) framework trained on electronic health record (EHR) data from over 50,000 ICU admissions (2017–2023). EBMs combine strong predictive performance with interpretability by modeling feature effects through shape functions and capturing pairwise interactions. This allows identification of both global and patient-specific risk factors while maintaining transparency. The framework emphasizes modifiable factors such as repositioning frequency, nutrition, and medical device management, revealing nonlinear thresholds and interaction effects often missed by conventional methods. Overall, the proposed approach integrates accurate prediction with clear, clinically interpretable insights, enabling real-time identification of actionable risk factors for HAPI prevention. By bridging predictive modeling and nursing decision-making, it supports more targeted interventions and improved patient outcomes in critical care settings.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2023 | Article: 73
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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