Public health emergencies reveal critical weaknesses in healthcare supply chains, especially when PPE demand outpaces procurement and distribution capacity, making predictive analytics an important tool for forecasting demand and improving allocation during crises. This systematic review evaluates predictive analytics models for PPE demand forecasting and distribution optimization during public health emergencies, focusing on model types, data sources, validation approaches, performance metrics, equity considerations, and implementation readiness. Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, searches were conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Google Scholar for studies published between 2017 and 2025, yielding 2,847 records, of which 35 met inclusion criteria. Included studies comprised time series and statistical models (34%), machine learning and hybrid approaches (29%), optimization methods (26%), and simulation or digital twin frameworks (11%), with limited evidence of real-world deployment. Overall, findings indicate that predictive analytics can enhance PPE supply chain resilience by improving demand forecasting, allocation decisions, and scenario testing, but widespread adoption is limited by poor data interoperability, insufficient prospective validation, weak equity integration, and limited operational integration into healthcare decision systems.
Accurate prediction of demand for emergency, imaging, pharmacy, laboratory, and inpatient services is critical for hospital planning. However, forecasting models are typically built separately by department or institution, which limits their ability to learn from shared demand patterns. Hospitals generate rich operational demand streams, but patient-level data cannot usually be pooled across organizations. This creates a need for collaborative forecasting methods that preserve institutional control over sensitive operational records. This article proposes a federated multi-task learning framework for predicting service demand across multiple hospital units. The framework trains a shared predictive model across hospitals while each institution contributes only protected model updates. The framework includes local data adapters, a shared temporal learning backbone, task-specific forecasting heads, a federated aggregation layer, differential privacy mechanisms, and site-specific personalization modules. Together, these components support collaborative forecasting without transferring patient-level operational data. The framework could improve demand prediction by learning common temporal patterns across hospitals and service lines. It would also support local adaptation, reduce duplicated model development, and preserve data confidentiality. A privacy-preserving, collaborative approach to hospital demand forecasting could become a core infrastructure for multi-site operational coordination. Federated multi-task learning offers a practical conceptual foundation for such a system.