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Artificial Intelligence-Based Early Warning System for Detecting Hospital Supply Shortage Risk Using Procurement Logs, Consumption Rates, Vendor Delay Patterns, Procedure Forecasts, and Inventory Thresholds
Unpredictable hospital supply shortages can compromise patient care, interrupt clinical workflows, and force costly emergency purchasing. These shortages are often preceded by signals embedded in procurement activity, consumption patterns, vendor behavior, and inventory movement. Current hospital inventory practices frequently depend on manual review, static reorder points, and retrospective averages. These methods cannot adequately synthesize predictive data from procurement systems, clinical demand sources, supplier feeds, and inventory thresholds. This article proposes an AI-based early warning system that ingests procurement logs, real-time consumption rates, vendor delay patterns, procedure forecasts, and inventory thresholds. The system computes a dynamic shortage risk score for each monitored hospital supply item. The framework includes data ingestion pipelines, a machine learning prediction engine, a vendor risk assessor, a procedure-to-supply demand mapper, and an alert dashboard. These components convert fragmented operational data into actionable shortage risk intelligence. The system would provide actionable lead time for proactive reordering, substitution planning, vendor escalation, and redistribution across hospital locations. It could also learn from historical shortage events to support more resilient supply chain planning. A predictive, AI-augmented supply chain could transform hospital materials management from reactive replenishment to anticipatory risk mitigation. Such a system would support safer, more resilient, and more efficient hospital logistics.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 132
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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