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Machine Learning for Predicting Patient No-Show Appointments in Outpatient Clinics: A Systematic Review of Model Types, Feature Categories, and Operational Implementation Success Rates
Patient no-shows in outpatient clinics (5%–30% across specialties) disrupt scheduling efficiency, increase wait times, and strain healthcare resources. To address this, healthcare systems are increasingly applying machine learning (ML) for predictive scheduling support. This systematic review synthesizes ML approaches for predicting outpatient no-shows, focusing on model types, feature usage, and reported operational deployment outcomes, with emphasis on translation into clinical scheduling practice. A PRISMA-compliant search of PubMed, Embase, IEEE Xplore, Scopus, and Web of Science identified studies using ML for no-show prediction in outpatient settings. Data on models, features, performance, and implementation were extracted. Risk of bias was assessed using an adapted PROBAST tool. Thirty-two studies were included. Logistic regression, random forest, and XGBoost were the most commonly used models. Historical attendance data was the dominant predictive feature. Fewer than 20% of studies reported real-world implementation, and reported intervention outcomes (e.g., overbooking, reminders) were inconsistent. While ML models show strong predictive performance, real-world deployment and evidence of operational impact remain limited. This gap highlights the need to prioritize implementation-focused research to translate predictive accuracy into measurable improvements in clinic efficiency and access.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2024 | Article: 81

Causal Forest Models with Double Machine Learning for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Antihypertensive Therapy: A Position Paper on Personalized Prescribing from Observational EHR Data
Hypertension affects about 1.4 billion adults globally and is a major modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease. Although several first-line antihypertensive drug classes exist, randomized controlled trials typically report only average treatment effects (ATEs), which mask important variability in individual patient responses. As a result, clinical guidelines often assume a homogeneous patient population, leading to trial-and-error prescribing, delayed blood pressure control, and avoidable adverse effects. I argue that causal forest models combined with double machine learning (DML) enable reliable estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) from observational electronic health record data. These methods can approximate randomized trial validity while capturing clinically meaningful variation in treatment response across patients. Compared with traditional approaches, they are computationally feasible and better suited for individualized treatment assessment. Therefore, comparative effectiveness research in hypertension should move beyond ATE-focused analyses toward routine HTE estimation using causal machine learning. This shift would support more precise, data-driven prescribing and improve patient outcomes.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 January 2024 | Article: 83

Machine Learning for Prediction of Postoperative Surgical Site Infection, Venous Thromboembolism, and Respiratory Failure: A Systematic Review of Model Performance, External Validation, and Clinical Deployment
Postoperative complications including SSI (2–20%), VTE (1–5%), and respiratory failure (1–8%) significantly increase morbidity, mortality, length of stay, and readmissions. This systematic review assessed machine learning models predicting these outcomes, their performance, external validation, and clinical deployment. A PRISMA-based search (2017–2024) identified 32 eligible studies. Models such as random forest and XGBoost showed AUROC ranges of 0.70–0.85 for SSI, 0.75–0.90 for VTE (outperforming Caprini scores), and 0.75–0.88 for respiratory failure. However, fewer than 20% of studies included external validation and less than 5% reported clinical deployment. Overall, while machine learning models show strong retrospective performance, limited validation and minimal real-world implementation remain major barriers to clinical translation.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2025 | Article: 98

Machine Learning for Suicidality and Depression Risk Prediction: A Systematic Review of Electronic Health Records, Social Media, and Wearable Sensors
Suicidality and depression are major global health burdens, with over 700,000 suicide deaths annually and ~280 million people affected by major depressive disorder. Early risk prediction could support prevention, but traditional methods show limited accuracy. This PRISMA-compliant systematic review evaluated machine learning models for predicting suicidality and depression across electronic health records, social media, and wearable sensor data, focusing on performance, unimodal vs multimodal approaches, and ethical reporting. Searches of PubMed, PsycINFO, IEEE Xplore, arXiv, and ACM Digital Library identified eligible studies. EHR-based models showed AUROC 0.70–0.85 for suicide attempt prediction, social media models 0.70–0.80 for suicidal ideation, and wearable sensor models lower performance (0.65–0.75). Multimodal approaches improved performance by 5–10% over unimodal models. However, fewer than 20% of studies reported ethical considerations such as privacy, bias, or deployment safeguards. Overall, machine learning shows moderate-to-good predictive performance, with multimodal models performing best, but ethical reporting remains critically insufficient for clinical translation.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2025 | Article: 99

Machine Learning for Predicting Sepsis in Hospitalized Patients: A Systematic Review of Model Types, Feature Engineering Approaches, Prediction Horizons, and Prospective Validation Studies
Sepsis continues to be a major contributor to morbidity and mortality among hospitalized patients globally, especially within intensive care and emergency departments, where rapid recognition is essential for improving survival through timely treatment. In recent years, machine learning approaches have gained attention for their ability to predict sepsis onset using routinely collected electronic health record data. This systematic review, conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines, synthesizes evidence from studies published between 2017 and 2025, focusing on model architectures, feature selection and engineering strategies, prediction time horizons, and validation methodologies. Searches across major biomedical and informatics databases identified 67 eligible studies. The included literature shows that logistic regression, ensemble tree-based algorithms, and deep learning models are most frequently applied for sepsis prediction tasks. However, the majority of studies rely on retrospective datasets with internal validation, while only a limited number incorporate prospective or real-world validation frameworks. Overall, although reported model performance is often strong in retrospective analyses, a consistent decline in accuracy is observed when models are evaluated in real clinical environments. These findings highlight that prospective validation and improved generalizability are still underdeveloped areas, underscoring the need for future research to emphasize real-time deployment and robust external validation before clinical integration.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2026 | Article: 123

Predictive Analytics for Healthcare Supply Chain Resilience during Public Health Emergencies: A Systematic Review of Models for Personal Protective Equipment Demand Forecasting and Distribution Optimization
Public health emergencies reveal critical weaknesses in healthcare supply chains, especially when PPE demand outpaces procurement and distribution capacity, making predictive analytics an important tool for forecasting demand and improving allocation during crises. This systematic review evaluates predictive analytics models for PPE demand forecasting and distribution optimization during public health emergencies, focusing on model types, data sources, validation approaches, performance metrics, equity considerations, and implementation readiness. Following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, searches were conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Google Scholar for studies published between 2017 and 2025, yielding 2,847 records, of which 35 met inclusion criteria. Included studies comprised time series and statistical models (34%), machine learning and hybrid approaches (29%), optimization methods (26%), and simulation or digital twin frameworks (11%), with limited evidence of real-world deployment. Overall, findings indicate that predictive analytics can enhance PPE supply chain resilience by improving demand forecasting, allocation decisions, and scenario testing, but widespread adoption is limited by poor data interoperability, insufficient prospective validation, weak equity integration, and limited operational integration into healthcare decision systems.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 127

Federated and Decentralized Machine Learning for Healthcare Systems: A Critical Review of Privacy-Preserving Technologies, Incentive Mechanisms, and Regulatory Compliance Frameworks
Federated and decentralized machine learning offer the potential to extract valuable healthcare insights from siloed data without requiring the centralization of sensitive patient records, addressing long-standing privacy and governance challenges. This critical review assesses federated learning in healthcare through three lenses: privacy-preserving technologies, incentive mechanisms, and regulatory compliance frameworks. It examines whether the claims in existing literature are substantiated by real-world evidence from healthcare settings. The review reveals considerable enthusiasm for federated learning but identifies gaps, including incomplete implementation of privacy technologies, theoretical incentive mechanisms, and regulatory compliance often assumed but not validated. Additionally, real-world deployments are limited in scale and duration. The review concludes that the gap between federated learning's theoretical potential and clinical application remains significant, with overstated privacy claims and a lack of established frameworks for incentives and compliance.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 142

Interpretable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Laboratory Alert Fatigue Using Alert Frequency, Clinical Severity, Provider Specialty, Repeated Abnormal Results, Response Time, and Override Behavior
Laboratory alert fatigue erodes the effectiveness of clinical decision support by making repeated abnormal result notifications less likely to prompt timely clinical attention. It is often recognised only after providers begin delaying, overriding, or ignoring alerts. Current alert reduction strategies are commonly based on broad thresholds or blanket suppression rules. These approaches do not explain which providers, specialties, alert types, or repeated result patterns are most susceptible to fatigue. This article proposes an interpretable machine learning model that could predict whether a provider will exhibit fatigued behaviour toward a specific laboratory alert. The model is intended to support transparent, provider-aware alert redesign rather than opaque automation. The proposed framework would use historical alert logs with features capturing alert frequency, clinical severity, provider specialty, repeated abnormal results, response time history, and override behaviour. A regularised logistic regression or gradient-boosted tree model with SHAP explanations would provide both prediction and interpretability. Conceptually, the model would generate a fatigue risk score for each provider–alert pair. It would also attribute the score to specific drivers, such as repeated low-severity results, accumulated alert burden, or recent override patterns. An interpretable fatigue prediction model could enable personalised alert suppression, escalation, or redesign before a clinically important laboratory result is missed. Such a system would support safer, more adaptive clinical decision support.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 85

Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Daily Blood Product Demand in Tertiary Hospitals Using Surgical Schedules, Trauma Admissions, Transfusion History, Oncology Treatment Plans, and Inventory Depletion Patterns
Blood products are critical hospital resources with demand shaped by elective surgery, trauma, oncology treatment, and ongoing transfusion dependence. Volatility in daily use can create simultaneous risks of shortage and expiry-related wastage. Current inventory management often relies on par-level reordering and manual review of limited indicators. Such approaches may not anticipate daily demand shifts arising from multiple clinical drivers at the same time. This article develops a conceptual predictive model for forecasting daily blood product demand in tertiary hospitals. The model integrates surgical schedules, trauma admission patterns, transfusion history, oncology treatment plans, and inventory depletion data. The proposed approach uses time-series regression or gradient-boosted tree modelling trained on historical transfusion and hospital operations data. The model would output expected demand by blood product type for the next 24 hours. Conceptually, the model would provide a daily product-specific demand forecast with uncertainty bounds. It could flag days of expected high use driven by complex surgical lists, trauma activity, or planned oncology transfusion support. The model could support proactive, data-driven blood inventory management. It may help reduce emergency ordering, improve preparedness, and limit avoidable wastage.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 86

Predictive Analytics for Hospital Resource Allocation: A Review of Machine Learning Models for Bed Management, Staffing Demand, Equipment Use, Diagnostic Capacity, and Patient Throughput
Efficient hospital resource allocation is a persistent operational challenge because demand for beds, staff, equipment, diagnostics, and patient movement changes rapidly. Predictive analytics offers a way to anticipate demand and support more proactive operational decisions. This systematic review synthesised machine learning models applied to hospital resource allocation from 2017 to 2023. The review focused on bed management, staffing demand, equipment use, diagnostic capacity, and patient throughput. A PRISMA 2020-compliant review process was used, including structured searches of PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science. Screening, extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and narrative synthesis were conducted to compare model targets, data sources, validation approaches, and implementation maturity. The evidence base was dominated by retrospective studies of patient throughput, emergency department admission prediction, bed demand, and length of stay. Staffing, equipment, and diagnostic capacity forecasting were less frequently represented, while integrated multi-resource command centre models remained uncommon. Machine learning for hospital resource allocation has become technically advanced, but operational translation remains uneven. Most models remained retrospective or locally validated, with limited evidence of prospective deployment, workflow integration, or measurable operational impact.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 89

Machine Learning for Healthcare Revenue Cycle Analytics: A Systematic Review of Claim Denial Prediction, Coding Automation, Payment Delay Forecasting, and Prior Authorization Support
Revenue cycle inefficiencies, including claim denials, coding errors, delayed reimbursement, and prior authorization workload, impose substantial administrative and financial burdens on healthcare organizations. Machine learning has been proposed as a decision-support approach for improving prediction, automation, and workflow prioritization in these areas. This systematic review examined peer-reviewed and closely related scholarly literature from 2017 to 2023 on machine learning for healthcare revenue cycle analytics. The review focused on claim denial prediction, coding automation, payment delay forecasting, and prior authorization support. A PRISMA 2020-compliant review process was used, including structured database searching, dual screening, and domain-based narrative synthesis. Risk of bias was assessed using criteria adapted from PROBAST-AI, with attention to temporal validation, data leakage, and implementation relevance. The literature showed the greatest maturity in automated clinical coding and emerging but narrower evidence for claim denial prediction. Evidence for payment delay forecasting and prior authorization support was more limited, with few studies describing prospective implementation or measured operational impact. Machine learning shows promise for improving revenue cycle decision support, but most evidence remains retrospective and technically oriented. Deployment is constrained by data fragmentation, explainability requirements, workflow integration, and regulatory caution.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 90

Multimodal Machine Learning Model for Predicting High-Cost Hospital Episodes Using Pharmacy Utilization, Procedure Sequences, Length-of-Stay Trends, Intensive Care Transfers, and Administrative Claims Data
A small fraction of hospital episodes accounts for a disproportionate share of inpatient spending. Early recognition of these episodes remains difficult when risk assessment depends mainly on static admission information. More adaptive prediction is needed to support clinical and financial planning during hospitalization. Existing cost prediction models often emphasize claims, diagnoses, or broad utilization histories while underusing the dynamic signals that emerge during the inpatient stay. Pharmacy utilization, procedure sequencing, length-of-stay progression, and intensive care transfers may reveal escalating resource intensity before the final cost is known. Failure to integrate these modalities limits early identification of high-cost episodes. This article proposes a multimodal deep learning framework for predicting whether a hospitalization could become a high-cost outlier. The model is designed to combine pharmacy utilization, procedure sequences, length-of-stay trends, intensive care transfer events, and administrative claims data. The intended use is dynamic risk estimation early and repeatedly during the episode. The conceptual model uses separate modality-specific encoders for static claims features, temporal procedure events, pharmacy utilization patterns, length-of-stay trajectories, and intensive care transfer indicators. These representations are fused into a shared episode-level embedding trained with a cost-sensitive objective. The framework is intended for evaluation in historical and silent prospective deployment settings without assuming immediate clinical intervention effects. Conceptually, the model would output an updated probability that an active hospitalization will exceed a high-cost threshold. This probability would change as new medication orders, procedures, length-of-stay milestones, and intensive care transfers occur. The output could support utilization review, case management, pharmacy stewardship, and financial counseling workflows. A multimodal deep learning model for high-cost hospital episode prediction could help health systems identify emerging cost outliers before discharge. By combining static claims information with dynamic inpatient trajectories, such a model could support earlier resource allocation and more coordinated care planning. Its value should be assessed through careful validation, calibration, workflow integration, and prospective impact evaluation.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2024 | Article: 93

Interpretable Machine Learning Model for Detecting Clinical Pathway Deviations in Hospitalized Patients Using Order Sequences, Vital Sign Trends, Laboratory Monitoring Frequency, and Provider Decision Patterns
Clinical pathways are designed to standardize inpatient care for common conditions while allowing clinically justified individualization. Deviations from these pathways are frequent and may reflect either appropriate adaptation to patient complexity or potentially harmful departure from evidence-informed practice. Current deviation detection often depends on retrospective audit, static compliance rules, or aggregate dashboards. These approaches can miss subtle temporal drift in care delivery and rarely explain why a specific patient trajectory diverged from the expected pathway. This article proposes an interpretable machine learning model for detecting clinical pathway deviations in hospitalized patients. The model focuses on order sequences, vital sign trends, laboratory monitoring frequency, and provider decision patterns as dynamic indicators of care-process variation. Conceptually, the model would compare each patient’s evolving care trajectory with learned expected pathways using sequence-comparison and outlier-detection logic. SHAP-based or attention-informed explanations would identify the specific features responsible for a deviation flag, such as delayed monitoring, omitted follow-up testing, or unusual ordering behavior. The proposed model could detect when a patient’s care trajectory diverges from an expected pathway and provide a transparent rationale for review. For example, it could flag a missing repeat troponin, a delayed antibiotic escalation, or a laboratory monitoring pattern inconsistent with the patient’s clinical state. An interpretable pathway-deviation model could shift quality monitoring from manual, sample-based review toward continuous and transparent pathway surveillance. Such a system would support real-time clinical awareness, structured audit, and organizational learning.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2024 | Article: 98

Machine Learning Model for Predicting Delayed Patient Placement after Emergency Admission Using Bed Assignment Logs, Isolation Needs, Unit Census, Nurse Staffing Levels, and Specialty Service Availability
Emergency admissions frequently wait for inpatient bed placement when hospital capacity, infection control needs, staffing limitations, and specialty-bed requirements collide. These delays can prolong emergency department boarding and disrupt hospital-wide patient flow. Current bed management is often reactive, relying on bed coordinators, charge nurses, manual communication, and local escalation routines. Without a prospective warning system, teams may recognize an impending placement delay only after the admission queue has already stalled. The objective is to develop a machine learning model that predicts, at the time of admission decision, whether a patient is likely to experience delayed placement beyond a defined operational threshold. The model would use bed assignment logs, isolation requirements, unit census, nurse staffing levels, and specialty service availability as core predictors. A supervised classification model based on gradient-boosted trees would be trained on historical emergency admissions and linked operational data. The model would generate a placement delay risk score that can be refreshed as bed status, staffing, and unit conditions change. Conceptually, the model would identify admissions at elevated risk for delayed placement and attribute risk to operational constraints such as limited isolation rooms, high census, low staffing, or unavailable specialty beds. These explanations would give bed managers lead time to intervene before the delay becomes entrenched. This predictive model could shift hospital bed management from a reactive queue-based process to proactive, data-driven placement coordination. It would support earlier escalation, more targeted resource allocation, and improved alignment between emergency admissions and inpatient capacity.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2024 | Article: 100

Probabilistic Record Linkage and Machine Learning Model for Detecting Duplicate Patient Records Using Demographic Similarity, Address Variation, Encounter History, Insurance Identifiers, and Clinical Pattern Matching
Duplicate patient records are a pervasive problem in electronic health records, endangering patient safety and inflating healthcare costs. In EHR-driven health systems, identity fragmentation can separate medications, allergies, diagnoses, laboratory results, and prior encounters across more than one record. Traditional probabilistic linkage relies on manual tuning of weights for demographic attributes and cannot fully exploit temporal address changes, insurance identifiers, or clinical patterns. These limitations become especially important when names are misspelled, addresses change, identifiers are missing, or patients receive care across multiple facilities. This article develops a conceptual model that combines probabilistic record linkage with machine learning to detect duplicate patient records. The model uses demographic similarity, address variation, encounter history, insurance identifiers, and clinical pattern matching as complementary evidence streams. The proposed model first applies probabilistic blocking to generate candidate record pairs, then uses a deep learning classifier, such as a Siamese network, to score pairs based on static and dynamic features. The output is a duplicate probability that can support automated ranking, human review, and master patient index maintenance. Conceptually, the model would be expected to improve duplicate detection compared with purely probabilistic linkage when demographic data are incomplete or unstable. Its main advantage is that it can anchor linkage decisions in more stable encounter patterns, longitudinal clinical trajectories, and repeated institutional contact signals. Such a hybrid model could enable a more accurate and self-maintaining master patient index while reducing the burden of manual record merging. It would also support safer registration workflows by identifying probable duplicates before identity fragmentation affects care delivery.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 103

Machine Learning for Patient Transfer and Discharge Planning: A Review of Predictive Models for Placement Delay, Discharge Readiness, Follow-Up Completion, and Post-Discharge Risk
Hospital patient flow depends on timely transfer decisions, accurate discharge planning, and reliable post-discharge coordination. Delays in placement, premature discharge, missed follow-up, and unrecognized post-discharge risk can increase avoidable utilization and compromise continuity of care. This systematic review examined machine learning models for predicting placement delay, discharge readiness, follow-up completion, and post-discharge risk from 2017 to 2024. The objective was to synthesize model purposes, data sources, validation practices, implementation maturity, and practical relevance for care transitions. A PRISMA 2020-compliant systematic review was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science. Dual screening, structured data extraction, and narrative synthesis were used because heterogeneity in model objectives, predictors, settings, and outcomes prevented meta-analysis. The evidence base was largest for post-discharge readmission risk and discharge readiness prediction, while placement delay and follow-up completion received less focused attention. Prospective validation, workflow integration, and outcome-based implementation studies were uncommon across all four domains. Machine learning offers promising tools to support proactive discharge planning and transitional care, but the evidence remains dominated by retrospective model development. Translation into routine practice requires prospective testing, interpretability, equity assessment, and integration into multidisciplinary workflows.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 105

Explainable Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Preventable Appointment Cancellations Using Scheduling Notes, Patient Communication History, Weather Conditions, Transportation Barriers, and Prior Attendance Behavior
Appointment cancellations undermine clinic efficiency, disrupt continuity of care, and reduce access for patients waiting for limited appointment slots. Many cancellations may be preventable when risk is recognized early enough for staff to intervene with reminders, rescheduling support, transportation assistance, or telemedicine conversion. Existing appointment-risk models often emphasize historical attendance and demographic information while underusing scheduling notes, patient communication history, weather conditions, and transportation barriers. They also frequently provide risk scores without patient-specific explanations that staff can translate into meaningful outreach. This article proposes an explainable machine learning framework for predicting preventable appointment cancellations before the appointment occurs. The framework is designed to identify not only which appointments may be at risk, but also why the cancellation risk is elevated. The proposed framework uses a gradient-boosted classification model trained on structured scheduling variables, prior attendance behavior, communication history, weather-linked features, transportation indicators, and natural language processing outputs from scheduling notes. SHAP-based explanation layers would decompose each prediction into interpretable drivers that can be reviewed by scheduling staff, clinic managers, and governance teams. Conceptually, the framework would output a cancellation risk score together with a natural-language explanation of the dominant drivers. These outputs could support targeted interventions such as reminder escalation, proactive rescheduling, transportation support, or conversion to a virtual visit when appropriate. An explainable framework for preventable appointment cancellation prediction could shift patient access management from reactive backfilling toward proactive retention. By combining heterogeneous access signals with transparent attribution, clinics could better align outreach resources with patient-specific barriers.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 110

Interpretable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prior Authorization Approval Delays Using Payer-Specific Rules, Clinical Documentation Features, Procedure Type, Medical Necessity Indicators, and Historical Approval Timelines
Prior authorization delays impede timely patient care and contribute to administrative pressure across clinical and revenue cycle workflows. These delays can affect scheduling, medication access, procedural planning, and patient confidence in the care process. Current authorization management tools are largely reactive and often focus on tracking request status after submission. They rarely predict which requests are likely to experience approval delays or explain the operational, clinical, or payer-specific reasons behind those delays. This article proposes an interpretable machine learning model for predicting the likelihood of prior authorization approval delays. The model is designed to provide transparent, request-level explanations that can guide pre-submission correction and authorization preparation. The proposed framework uses a gradient-boosted tree model trained conceptually on historical authorization requests. Inputs include payer-specific rules, clinical documentation features, procedure type, medical necessity indicators, and historical approval timelines, with SHAP used to attribute predicted delay risk to individual features. Conceptually, the model would output a delay probability and an explanation of the dominant drivers of that prediction. These drivers could include incomplete documentation, mismatch with payer medical necessity criteria, procedure categories associated with additional review, or payer-procedure combinations with historically slow turnaround. An interpretable prior authorization delay model could support earlier correction of incomplete requests, reduce administrative waste, and improve patient access. By aligning predictive analytics with transparent explanations, the framework could make authorization preparation more proactive and accountable.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 115

Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Hospital Housekeeping Demand Using Discharge Predictions, Room Turnover History, Isolation Status, Environmental Cleaning Requirements, and Unit-Level Census Patterns
Hospital housekeeping demand is closely tied to bed turnover, discharge timing, isolation precautions, and unit-level patient movement. Delays in environmental services completion can slow bed availability and create downstream pressure on emergency departments, inpatient units, and procedural areas. Environmental services staffing is often managed through fixed shift patterns, current occupancy views, and reactive dispatch queues. These approaches may not anticipate cleaning surges caused by clustered discharges, isolation rooms, or changing census patterns. This manuscript proposes a predictive model for forecasting hospital housekeeping demand by combining discharge predictions, room turnover history, isolation status, environmental cleaning requirements, and unit-level census signals. The goal is to estimate the number, type, and timing of cleaning tasks needed across hospital units. The proposed model would use historical environmental services logs, admission-discharge-transfer data, bed management data, discharge prediction outputs, and infection-control status indicators. A supervised regression or time-series architecture could generate hourly unit-level demand forecasts for routine, terminal, and enhanced cleaning tasks. Conceptually, the model would be expected to identify upcoming cleaning pressure before it appears on the live dispatch board. For example, it could anticipate an afternoon surge in terminal cleans when several predicted discharges coincide with isolation rooms and high unit census. A forecasting model for housekeeping demand could support proactive environmental services staffing, reduce avoidable bed turnaround delays, and improve hospital throughput. Its value would depend on careful integration with existing bed management systems and prospective evaluation in operational settings.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 117

Machine Learning for Healthcare Workforce Analytics: A Review of Models for Staffing Prediction, Burnout Detection, Skill Matching, Productivity Monitoring, and Retention Risk Forecasting
Healthcare workforce management faces persistent challenges, including staffing shortages, clinician burnout, skill misalignment, productivity pressure, and turnover. Machine learning has been proposed as a way to support earlier prediction, better allocation, and more responsive workforce decision-making. This systematic review synthesizes peer-reviewed evidence from 2017 to 2025 on machine learning applications in healthcare workforce analytics. The review focuses on staffing prediction, burnout detection, skill matching, productivity monitoring, and retention risk forecasting. A PRISMA 2020-aligned review approach was used to structure database searching, screening, eligibility assessment, and narrative synthesis. The review considered studies from PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science, with emphasis on workforce-relevant outcomes and healthcare operational settings. Staffing prediction and burnout detection were the most developed domains in the reviewed literature. Skill matching and productivity monitoring were less mature, while retention risk forecasting showed growing interest but limited implementation evidence. Machine learning offers useful tools for healthcare workforce analytics, but the evidence base remains uneven. Stronger prospective validation, fairness assessment, and implementation reporting are needed before these models can be considered mature workforce decision-support systems.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2026 | Article: 124

Transparent Machine Learning Model for Predicting Delayed Follow-Up After Emergency Department Visits Using Discharge Instructions, Appointment Availability, Portal Engagement, Social Risk Data, and Visit Severity
Many patients discharged from emergency departments require timely outpatient follow-up to complete diagnostic, therapeutic, or monitoring plans. When follow-up is delayed, unresolved symptoms, missed diagnoses, medication problems, and preventable return visits may occur. Current discharge workflows often rely on generic instructions and assume that patients can understand, schedule, and attend recommended care. Existing prediction approaches do not consistently combine unstructured discharge instructions, appointment access, portal engagement, social risk, and visit severity in a transparent way.This article proposes a transparent machine learning framework for predicting delayed follow-up after emergency department visits. The objective is to support patient-specific discharge planning by identifying both the likelihood of delay and the most actionable contributing barriers. The proposed model would combine structured emergency department and scheduling data with natural language processing features extracted from discharge instructions. A gradient-boosted tree model with SHAP-based explanations would provide patient-level and population-level interpretability. Conceptually, the model would identify patients at elevated risk of delayed follow-up and attribute that risk to factors such as unclear instructions, limited appointment availability, absent portal engagement, transportation barriers, or higher visit complexity. These explanations would be intended to guide targeted interventions rather than replace clinical judgment. A transparent model for delayed follow-up prediction could enable precision transitional care after emergency department discharge. By aligning predictions with actionable explanations, care teams could direct limited resources toward the specific barrier most likely to prevent timely follow-up.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 133

Machine Learning Model for Predicting High Administrative Burden Encounters Using Documentation Complexity, Billing Requirements, Insurance Rules, Care Coordination Needs, and Provider Workload Indicators
Administrative tasks surrounding a clinical encounter include documentation, coding, billing, insurance verification, prior authorization, and care coordination. These tasks are unevenly distributed across encounters and can consume substantial clinical and operational capacity. Health systems often detect administrative overload only after coding backlogs, payer denials, unanswered messages, or staff overtime have already emerged. The absence of an encounter-level prediction tool limits the ability of practices to intervene before administrative work accumulates. This article proposes a machine learning model that predicts whether an encounter is likely to become a high-administrative-burden event. The model uses documentation complexity, billing requirements, insurance rules, care coordination needs, and provider workload indicators as core predictors. A gradient-boosted classification framework is conceptually specified using historical encounter, billing, scheduling, payer, and workload data. The model would generate an encounter-level burden risk score and provide interpretable feature-domain contributions to support operational decisions. Conceptually, the model could identify encounters likely to require additional coding review, prior authorization follow-up, payer documentation, or multidisciplinary coordination. The resulting risk score would support proactive staffing, pre-visit review, and workflow routing. A predictive model for high administrative burden encounters could help shift healthcare administration from reactive queue management to anticipatory operational planning. Such a model may support revenue integrity, reduce avoidable rework, and lessen administrative strain on clinicians and staff.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 134
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