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Graph-Based Machine Learning Model for Predicting Care Coordination Failures Using Referral Networks, Follow-Up Completion Status, Patient Message Logs, Specialty Access Delays, and Provider Communication Patterns
Care coordination failures include missed referrals, lost follow-ups, fragmented communication, and incomplete transitions between primary and specialty care. These failures can delay diagnosis, weaken continuity, and increase avoidable utilisation. Existing detection approaches often depend on manual review, retrospective audits, or simple rule-based flags. Such approaches are poorly suited to capture the relational complexity of patient, provider, referral, messaging, and encounter networks. This article develops a conceptual graph-based machine learning model for predicting care coordination failures. The model represents patient–provider referral networks enriched with follow-up status, patient message activity, specialty access delays, and provider communication patterns. The proposed approach uses a heterogeneous graph neural network in which patients and providers are nodes. Referral, encounter, and messaging relationships are represented as edges, while node and edge features encode follow-up adherence, message frequency, wait-time signals, and communication context. Conceptually, the model would identify high-risk referral edges that combine delayed access, incomplete follow-up, weak messaging activity, or limited provider communication. These predictions would support coordinator review before a referral becomes a documented care gap. A graph-based model could shift care coordination from reactive tracking toward predictive prevention. By identifying fragile referral relationships early, it could support more timely outreach and safer continuity of care.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2023 | Article: 84

Machine Learning for Patient Transfer and Discharge Planning: A Review of Predictive Models for Placement Delay, Discharge Readiness, Follow-Up Completion, and Post-Discharge Risk
Hospital patient flow depends on timely transfer decisions, accurate discharge planning, and reliable post-discharge coordination. Delays in placement, premature discharge, missed follow-up, and unrecognized post-discharge risk can increase avoidable utilization and compromise continuity of care. This systematic review examined machine learning models for predicting placement delay, discharge readiness, follow-up completion, and post-discharge risk from 2017 to 2024. The objective was to synthesize model purposes, data sources, validation practices, implementation maturity, and practical relevance for care transitions. A PRISMA 2020-compliant systematic review was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science. Dual screening, structured data extraction, and narrative synthesis were used because heterogeneity in model objectives, predictors, settings, and outcomes prevented meta-analysis. The evidence base was largest for post-discharge readmission risk and discharge readiness prediction, while placement delay and follow-up completion received less focused attention. Prospective validation, workflow integration, and outcome-based implementation studies were uncommon across all four domains. Machine learning offers promising tools to support proactive discharge planning and transitional care, but the evidence remains dominated by retrospective model development. Translation into routine practice requires prospective testing, interpretability, equity assessment, and integration into multidisciplinary workflows.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 105
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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