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Machine Learning for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction Using Electronic Health Records: A Systematic Review
Cardiovascular disease remains the leading global cause of death, emphasizing the need for improved risk stratification beyond traditional tools such as Framingham, ASCVD, QRISK, and SCORE, which show limitations in diverse modern populations. Machine learning methods applied to electronic health records can enhance prediction by capturing complex, high-dimensional, and nonlinear relationships. This systematic review (2017–2022) evaluated machine learning models for cardiovascular risk prediction using EHR data, focusing on discrimination (AUROC, AUPRC), calibration, external validation, and reporting quality including TRIPOD adherence. A PRISMA-compliant search identified peer-reviewed studies applying machine learning to EHR-based cardiovascular risk prediction. Risk of bias was assessed using PROBAST, and narrative synthesis was conducted due to heterogeneity. Twenty-nine studies were included. XGBoost, random forest, and neural networks were the most common models and generally outperformed logistic regression and traditional risk scores in discrimination. However, calibration was infrequently reported, and external validation was limited, often showing reduced performance. Machine learning models demonstrate improved predictive discrimination over conventional risk scores, but limited calibration assessment and weak external validation constrain clinical applicability. Stronger validation frameworks are needed for clinical translation.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2023 | Article: 66

Predictive Analytics for Emergency Department Crowding and Patient Flow Optimization: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning Models, Input Features, and Operational Outcomes
Emergency department crowding is a persistent global healthcare challenge linked to longer wait times, increased patients leaving without being seen, worse clinical outcomes, and staff burnout. It also contributes to ambulance diversion and inefficient resource use, worsening hospital operational strain. This systematic review evaluates machine learning models for predicting ED crowding and optimizing patient flow, focusing on input features (e.g., arrival rates, acuity, bed availability) and reported operational outcomes such as waiting times and ambulance delays. A PRISMA-compliant review was conducted across PubMed, Embase, IEEE Xplore, and Scopus. Included studies applied machine learning to ED crowding or patient flow prediction and reported operational or crowding outcomes. Due to heterogeneity, a narrative synthesis was used, and risk of bias was assessed using an adapted tool. Thirty-two studies met inclusion criteria, using classification, regression, time-series, and deep learning models. Common predictors included arrival patterns, occupancy, and bed availability. While predictive performance was generally high, few studies evaluated real-world operational impacts, and most remained retrospective. Although machine learning models demonstrate strong predictive accuracy for ED crowding, evidence of real-world operational benefits remains limited. A clear gap exists between prediction and implementation into clinical workflow and decision-making. Future research should focus on translating predictions into measurable improvements in ED performance.
Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
Review | Open access | 20 January 2023 | Article: 68
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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