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Counterfactual Auditing of EHR-Based Predictors: A Framework for Identifying Spurious Clinical Associations
Electronic health records (EHRs) serve as foundational data sources for predictive analytics in healthcare, enabling the development of models that inform clinical decision-making. However, these predictors often harbor spurious associations—correlations that appear causal but arise from confounding factors, biases in data capture, or systemic artifacts—potentially leading to erroneous clinical interventions and inequities in patient outcomes. This conceptual manuscript introduces a novel framework for counterfactual auditing of EHR-based predictors, designed to systematically identify and mitigate such spurious clinical associations within integrated healthcare analytics infrastructures. Drawing on principles from clinical AI governance and decision support pipelines, the proposed architecture incorporates layered modules for data interoperability, counterfactual scenario generation, and association validation, ensuring alignment with clinical workflow integration models. We synthesize recent literature on EHR intelligence ecosystems to highlight theoretical underpinnings, emphasizing the need for robust monitoring systems that prevent propagation of misleading associations in real-time deployment environments. Conceptual formulas are presented to interpret risk propagation and decision confidence in audited predictors, offering interpretive tools for governance. By focusing on infrastructural orchestration rather than empirical validation, this framework advances AI accountability in healthcare, fostering ethical deployment and reducing the burden of spurious inferences on clinical practice. Ultimately, it provides a blueprint for healthcare systems to enhance predictor reliability through proactive auditing, promoting safer and more equitable AI-driven care.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 10 January 2023 | Article: 20

Nursing Workload as a Measurable Safety Signal: A Task-Structured Modeling Framework for Risk Detection
Nursing workload has long been recognized as a critical but under-theorized determinant of patient safety. This conceptual systems article reframes workload not as a static staffing metric but as a dynamic, measurable safety signal whose temporal and structural characteristics can be modeled to detect emerging risk states before adverse events materialize. Drawing exclusively on peer-reviewed literature published, the manuscript synthesizes evidence that elevated workload correlates with missed care, falls, medication errors, and burnout, yet existing approaches remain fragmented across isolated predictive models or retrospective acuity tools.To address this architectural gap, the article introduces the TASK-RISK framework—a novel, task-structured orchestration infrastructure that decomposes clinical activities into granular, temporally anchored units, fuses them into composite safety signals, and propagates those signals through a closed-loop detection topology. The framework is purely conceptual, specifying layer definitions, feedback mechanisms, and interpretive mathematical formalisms without empirical training or performance claims. Its five-layer architecture—task acquisition, workload quantification, signal generation, risk propagation, and governance feedback—operates entirely within existing electronic health record and sensor infrastructures, thereby offering a scalable blueprint for proactive safety governance. Theoretical implications for clinical deployment, ethical oversight, and system drift management are delineated. The manuscript establishes workload as a first-class safety signal and supplies the infrastructural scaffolding required for its integration into next-generation healthcare analytics platforms.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 10 January 2026 | Article: 57
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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