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Predictive Analytics Model for Estimating Same-Day Hospital Discharge Readiness Using Morning Laboratory Results, Active Medication Orders, Vital Sign Stability, Mobility Documentation, and Pending Consultation Status
Hospital discharge delays are costly, disrupt inpatient capacity, and expose patients to avoidable iatrogenic harm. Early identification of patients likely to be ready for discharge could improve patient flow and reduce operational bottlenecks. Current discharge decisions often rely on subjective judgment, fragmented documentation, and sequential review by multiple clinical teams. No single tool routinely integrates the morning snapshot of clinical readiness. This article proposes a predictive model that estimates the probability of same-day discharge readiness by 9 am. The model uses morning laboratory results, active medication orders, vital sign stability, mobility documentation, and pending consultation status. The proposed approach is a supervised classification model using gradient-boosted trees trained on historical inpatient encounters. Features would be assembled from electronic health record data available before morning rounds. Conceptually, the model would generate a calibrated discharge readiness list for clinical review. This list could help care teams focus on borderline patients and support bed-management forecasting. The model could accelerate discharge throughput while maintaining safety by surfacing hidden readiness signals. It is intended to complement, not replace, clinical judgment.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2022 | Article: 69

Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Operations Management: A Review of Predictive Analytics Models for Staffing, Scheduling, Bed Capacity, Patient Flow, and Service Demand Forecasting
Healthcare operations are constrained by demand volatility, resource scarcity, staffing pressures, and interdependent patient pathways. Artificial intelligence and predictive analytics offer a way to anticipate operational stress before it becomes visible in queues, bed shortages, overtime, or delayed care. This systematic review examines predictive analytics models applied to hospital staffing, scheduling, bed capacity, patient flow, and service demand forecasting from 2017 to 2022. The objective is to synthesize model types, data sources, operational targets, validation approaches, and implementation maturity across these domains. A PRISMA 2020–compliant review design was used to guide database searching, screening, eligibility assessment, extraction, and synthesis. Searches covered PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science, with narrative synthesis grouped by operational domain and risk of bias considered using an operationally adapted PROBAST-AI lens. The evidence base was dominated by retrospective, single-centre studies demonstrating the technical feasibility of predictive analytics for bed demand, emergency department arrivals, admission prediction, discharge prediction, and length-of-stay estimation. Staffing and scheduling studies were less frequent, and prospective implementation in real operational workflows remained uncommon. Predictive analytics for healthcare operations management is technically mature but practically under-deployed. The central challenge is translating forecasts into staffing, scheduling, bed-management, and command-centre decisions that measurably improve operational performance.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2023 | Article: 76

Predictive Analytics Model for Estimating Outpatient Clinic Overbooking Risk Using Appointment History, Provider Schedule Density, Visit Complexity, No-Show Probability, Seasonal Trends, and Patient Communication Records
Outpatient clinics routinely overbook to compensate for patient no-shows, but poorly calibrated overbooking can create provider overtime, patient wait time, and staff burnout. The operational challenge is to preserve access without overwhelming clinical capacity. Current overbooking rules often rely on static session-level averages. These rules ignore the dynamic risk profile of the specific patient being added to the schedule. This article develops a predictive analytics model that estimates overbooking risk for each proposed additional appointment. The model uses patient-specific features together with provider, schedule, seasonal, and communication context. The proposed model would use gradient-boosted classification or regression trained on historical appointment data. Its output would be a risk score reflecting the likelihood of excessive wait time, overtime, or queue formation for the session. Conceptually, the model would flag situations in which adding a particular patient to a dense session creates high operational risk. It would also identify lower-risk overbooking opportunities when the schedule has sufficient flexibility. The model could enable precision overbooking in outpatient clinics. It would support access and efficiency while reducing the negative consequences of both no-shows and excessive overbooking.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2023 | Article: 81

Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Daily Blood Product Demand in Tertiary Hospitals Using Surgical Schedules, Trauma Admissions, Transfusion History, Oncology Treatment Plans, and Inventory Depletion Patterns
Blood products are critical hospital resources with demand shaped by elective surgery, trauma, oncology treatment, and ongoing transfusion dependence. Volatility in daily use can create simultaneous risks of shortage and expiry-related wastage. Current inventory management often relies on par-level reordering and manual review of limited indicators. Such approaches may not anticipate daily demand shifts arising from multiple clinical drivers at the same time. This article develops a conceptual predictive model for forecasting daily blood product demand in tertiary hospitals. The model integrates surgical schedules, trauma admission patterns, transfusion history, oncology treatment plans, and inventory depletion data. The proposed approach uses time-series regression or gradient-boosted tree modelling trained on historical transfusion and hospital operations data. The model would output expected demand by blood product type for the next 24 hours. Conceptually, the model would provide a daily product-specific demand forecast with uncertainty bounds. It could flag days of expected high use driven by complex surgical lists, trauma activity, or planned oncology transfusion support. The model could support proactive, data-driven blood inventory management. It may help reduce emergency ordering, improve preparedness, and limit avoidable wastage.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 86

Predictive Analytics for Hospital Resource Allocation: A Review of Machine Learning Models for Bed Management, Staffing Demand, Equipment Use, Diagnostic Capacity, and Patient Throughput
Efficient hospital resource allocation is a persistent operational challenge because demand for beds, staff, equipment, diagnostics, and patient movement changes rapidly. Predictive analytics offers a way to anticipate demand and support more proactive operational decisions. This systematic review synthesised machine learning models applied to hospital resource allocation from 2017 to 2023. The review focused on bed management, staffing demand, equipment use, diagnostic capacity, and patient throughput. A PRISMA 2020-compliant review process was used, including structured searches of PubMed, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science. Screening, extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and narrative synthesis were conducted to compare model targets, data sources, validation approaches, and implementation maturity. The evidence base was dominated by retrospective studies of patient throughput, emergency department admission prediction, bed demand, and length of stay. Staffing, equipment, and diagnostic capacity forecasting were less frequently represented, while integrated multi-resource command centre models remained uncommon. Machine learning for hospital resource allocation has become technically advanced, but operational translation remains uneven. Most models remained retrospective or locally validated, with limited evidence of prospective deployment, workflow integration, or measurable operational impact.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2024 | Article: 89

Artificial Intelligence Framework for Predicting Medical Equipment Utilization Using Real-Time Location System Data, Procedure Schedules, Maintenance Logs, Unit-Level Demand, and Device Availability Records
Medical equipment shortages and surpluses often coexist in hospitals because utilization is observed after demand has already emerged rather than predicted in advance. Expensive mobile assets may sit idle in low-demand areas while clinicians search for pumps, monitors, beds, ventilators, or imaging-related devices in high-demand units. Current equipment management often depends on manual counts, static par levels, delayed inventory review, and reactive dispatching. These practices do not fully integrate forward-looking signals already present in procedure schedules, unit demand projections, maintenance logs, and device availability records. This article proposes an artificial intelligence framework that ingests real-time location system data, procedure schedules, maintenance logs, unit-level demand forecasts, and device availability records. The framework is designed to generate continuous predictions of equipment utilization and impending shortages across hospital units. The framework includes a real-time location ingestion module, a procedure-schedule demand mapper, a maintenance downtime predictor, a unit-level demand forecaster, a multi-source fusion engine, and an operational decision-support dashboard. These components would convert fragmented hospital data streams into coordinated predictions for equipment planning. The framework would shift equipment management from reactive searching toward proactive allocation. It would be expected to reduce avoidable idle time, improve visibility of available equipment pools, and support earlier decisions about staging, redistribution, maintenance rescheduling, or rental planning. An AI-enabled equipment utilization framework offers a pathway toward a data-driven and anticipatory medical equipment supply chain. Such a framework could help hospitals coordinate scarce assets more effectively in complex, high-pressure clinical environments.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2024 | Article: 95

Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Quality Improvement from 2017 to 2024: A Systematic Review of Predictive Models for Safety Events, Care Gaps, Adverse Outcomes, and Performance Monitoring
Healthcare quality improvement increasingly relies on routinely collected data to identify preventable harm, missed care opportunities, adverse outcomes, and variation in performance. Artificial intelligence predictive models may support earlier detection of quality risks and enable more proactive monitoring than retrospective audits alone. This systematic review examined artificial intelligence predictive models for healthcare quality improvement from 2017 to 2024. The review focused on patient safety events, care gaps, adverse clinical outcomes, and performance monitoring systems. A PRISMA 2020-compliant search was conducted across PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and IEEE Xplore for peer-reviewed English-language studies published from 2017 through 2024. Dual screening, structured data extraction, risk-of-bias assessment, and narrative synthesis were used. The evidence base showed growing use of machine learning for pressure injuries, sepsis, readmission, mortality, ICU transfer, and continuous monitoring. However, most studies remained retrospective model-development or validation studies, while fewer described deployment within formal quality improvement workflows. Technical progress in predictive modelling for quality improvement is substantial, but evidence of sustained improvement in care processes, safety outcomes, or organisational performance remains limited. Stronger prospective evaluation and clearer integration with improvement methods are needed.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Review | Open access | 25 February 2025 | Article: 104

Machine Learning Model for Forecasting Hospital Housekeeping Demand Using Discharge Predictions, Room Turnover History, Isolation Status, Environmental Cleaning Requirements, and Unit-Level Census Patterns
Hospital housekeeping demand is closely tied to bed turnover, discharge timing, isolation precautions, and unit-level patient movement. Delays in environmental services completion can slow bed availability and create downstream pressure on emergency departments, inpatient units, and procedural areas. Environmental services staffing is often managed through fixed shift patterns, current occupancy views, and reactive dispatch queues. These approaches may not anticipate cleaning surges caused by clustered discharges, isolation rooms, or changing census patterns. This manuscript proposes a predictive model for forecasting hospital housekeeping demand by combining discharge predictions, room turnover history, isolation status, environmental cleaning requirements, and unit-level census signals. The goal is to estimate the number, type, and timing of cleaning tasks needed across hospital units. The proposed model would use historical environmental services logs, admission-discharge-transfer data, bed management data, discharge prediction outputs, and infection-control status indicators. A supervised regression or time-series architecture could generate hourly unit-level demand forecasts for routine, terminal, and enhanced cleaning tasks. Conceptually, the model would be expected to identify upcoming cleaning pressure before it appears on the live dispatch board. For example, it could anticipate an afternoon surge in terminal cleans when several predicted discharges coincide with isolation rooms and high unit census. A forecasting model for housekeeping demand could support proactive environmental services staffing, reduce avoidable bed turnaround delays, and improve hospital throughput. Its value would depend on careful integration with existing bed management systems and prospective evaluation in operational settings.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2025 | Article: 117

Predictive Analytics Model for Forecasting Digital Patient Portal Message Volume Using Disease Seasonality, Appointment Density, Medication Changes, Prior Communication Behavior, and Clinic Workload Trends
Asynchronous patient portal messaging has become a central mode of ambulatory communication. Its volume is highly variable and increasingly burdensome for clinicians, nurses, medical assistants, and operational leaders. Clinics often respond to inbox surges only after workload has already accumulated. This reactive pattern can prolong response times, intensify staff stress, and reduce the reliability of patient communication workflows. The objective of this predictive model article is to describe a conceptual model for forecasting daily digital patient portal message volume. The model would use disease seasonality, appointment density, medication changes, prior communication behavior, and clinic workload trends as dynamic predictors. The proposed model would combine time-series forecasting with structured clinical and operational features. Gradient-boosted trees, temporal neural networks, or related forecasting architectures could be trained on historical message counts and time-varying predictor variables. Conceptually, the model would provide rolling forecasts of expected message volume for each clinic, day, or operational shift. Forecast intervals could support staffing decisions, workload balancing, and proactive patient communication before inbox pressure peaks. A predictive model for portal message volume could help ambulatory clinics manage digital communication more proactively. Such a system would be expected to improve operational preparedness, staff well-being, and patient responsiveness.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 25 February 2026 | Article: 129

Machine Learning Model for Predicting High Administrative Burden Encounters Using Documentation Complexity, Billing Requirements, Insurance Rules, Care Coordination Needs, and Provider Workload Indicators
Administrative tasks surrounding a clinical encounter include documentation, coding, billing, insurance verification, prior authorization, and care coordination. These tasks are unevenly distributed across encounters and can consume substantial clinical and operational capacity. Health systems often detect administrative overload only after coding backlogs, payer denials, unanswered messages, or staff overtime have already emerged. The absence of an encounter-level prediction tool limits the ability of practices to intervene before administrative work accumulates. This article proposes a machine learning model that predicts whether an encounter is likely to become a high-administrative-burden event. The model uses documentation complexity, billing requirements, insurance rules, care coordination needs, and provider workload indicators as core predictors. A gradient-boosted classification framework is conceptually specified using historical encounter, billing, scheduling, payer, and workload data. The model would generate an encounter-level burden risk score and provide interpretable feature-domain contributions to support operational decisions. Conceptually, the model could identify encounters likely to require additional coding review, prior authorization follow-up, payer documentation, or multidisciplinary coordination. The resulting risk score would support proactive staffing, pre-visit review, and workflow routing. A predictive model for high administrative burden encounters could help shift healthcare administration from reactive queue management to anticipatory operational planning. Such a model may support revenue integrity, reduce avoidable rework, and lessen administrative strain on clinicians and staff.
Journal of Health Informatics and Digital Systems
Original Research | Open access | 20 July 2026 | Article: 134
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AI-driven Diagnostics Artificial Intelligence in Health Informatics Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare Big Data in Healthcare Clinical Data Mining Clinical Decision Support Systems Clinical Informatics Computer Vision Connected Health Systems Deep Learning Digital Health Digital Healthcare Innovation Digital Transformation in Healthcare Electronic Health Records Ethical AI in Healthcare Explainable AI Health Data Analytics Health Data Privacy Health Informatics Health Information Management Health Information Systems Health System Optimization Health Technology Assessment Healthcare Data Science Healthcare Informatics Healthcare Information Security Healthcare Management Healthcare Management Information Systems Intelligent Medical Systems Internet of Medical Things (IoMT) Interoperability in Healthcare Systems Machine Learning Medical Data Analytics Medical Data Management Medical Imaging Mobile Health (mHealth) Natural Language Processing Precision Medicine Predictive Analytics Remote Patient Monitoring Smart Healthcare Systems Telemedicine Wearable Health Technologies e-Health




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