TY - JOUR
T1 - Explainable Graph Neural Networks Integrating Discharge Medications, Social Determinants of Health, and Prior Admissions for Heart Failure Readmission Prediction: A Position Paper
AU - Siti Rahman
AU - Ahmad Zaki
AU - Nurul Huda
AU - Amir Faisal
AU - Lim Wei
JF - Journal of Artificial Intelligence for Healthcare Systems
JO - J. Artif. Intell. Healthc. Syst.
SN - 3149-8981
Y1 - 2024
VL - 3
IS - 2
SP - 88
N2 - Heart failure affects over 6 million Americans, with 30-day readmission rates remaining 20–25% despite longstanding quality improvement efforts. These readmissions cost about $17 billion annually and are penalized under federal reimbursement programs, yet existing prediction models have not achieved clinically useful performance. Most current models treat patients independently and fail to capture meaningful relationships among patients with similar medication patterns, admission histories, and social circumstances. They also often exclude critical social determinants of health (SDOH), such as housing instability and food insecurity, despite their strong association with readmission risk. In addition, black-box models lack interpretability, limiting clinician trust and usability. I argue that explainable graph neural networks (GNNs) integrating clinical data, SDOH, and prior admissions should replace traditional logistic regression and tree-based models for readmission prediction. Patient similarity graphs can represent clinically relevant relationships that tabular models miss, while graph attention mechanisms provide interpretable, actionable explanations. GNNs enable direct integration of SDOH and prior utilization patterns and offer transparency by highlighting which similar patients most influence predictions. This makes them more suitable for clinical decision support than existing approaches. Overall, persistent readmission rates reflect limitations in current modeling strategies. Explainable GNNs provide a more clinically meaningful and policy-relevant approach to improving prediction and reducing preventable readmissions.
UR - https://cirpublications.com/w676145731
ER -